In a catch weight fight on the main card, Kyle Daukaus and Jamie Pickett meet Saturday at UFC Vegas 48 – also known as UFC Fight Night 201 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC Vegas 48: Daukaus vs. Pickett odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims starting at 4 p.m. ET and the main card at 7 p.m.
Daukaus is coming off a no-contest against Kevin Holland last time out at UFC Fight Night 193 in Oct. Daukaus appeared to win via submission against Holland, but after further review, an accidental headbutt left Holland in disarray, and the victory was overturned.
The pair were expected to met in November, but Holland tapped out of that due to injury. Roman Dolidze was expected to fight in place of Holland, but he then pulled out, too.
Daukaus was expected to face Julian Marquez, but the latter pulled out due to an undisclosed reason, so Pickett steps in on short notice.
Pickett, a.k.a. “The Night Wolf”, has posted a pair of unanimous-decision wins against Laureano Staropoli and Joseph Holmes, but a fight against Daukaus, particularly on short notice, is a huge step up in competition.
UFC Vegas 48 Daukaus vs. Pickett: Odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:06 a.m. ET.
Fight result (2-way line): Daukaus -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Pickett +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -125 | No -110)
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UFC Vegas 48 Daukaus vs. Pickett: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Daukaus (10-2-0) | Pickett (13-6-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Daukaus (-300) is a heavy favorite, costing you three times your potential return against Pickett. While Daukaus looks like a slam-dunk winner, it’s still just too risky for such a small return.
Instead, look to Method of Victory. While Daukaus has yet to tap an opponent at the UFC level, finishing with three unanimous decisions (2-1) and a no-contest, he showed what he can do against Holland. The southpaw likes to go to the canvas, and Pickett is susceptible to the submission, and is likely to be ill-prepared after just learning of his opponent within the past 10 days.
Take DAUKAUS BY SUBMISSION (+245) on the Method of Victory wager for the best bet.
Play NO (-110): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE for the win, with the submission expected.
In addition, it might take a little time for Daukaus to get the job done. Play a two-round block with DAUKAUS TO WIN IN ROUND 2 (+570) and DAUKAUS TO WIN IN ROUND 3 (+950). If he gets the job done in Rounds 2-3, yes, you will lose one of the ends. However, you will also be quite a bit ahead leading into the main event.
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