Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

The Oklahoma City Thunder (19-42) visit the Ball Arena Wednesday to take on the Denver Nuggets (36-25). Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Thunder vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Thunder are coming into this game following an embarrassing 21-point home loss to the Kings. OKC failed to cover as 5.5-point underdogs.

OKC is 4-4-2 against the spread (ATS) over its last 10 and 10-21 straight up (SU) on the road, which is better than the Thunder’s 9-21 SU home record. OKC is 36-21-4 ATS this season, the second-highest covering rate.

Denver has been hot lately, coming off a 32-point win over the Trail Blazers. The Nuggets are 7-3 ATS over their last 10 and have covered 3 of their last 4.

Led by reigning MVP C Nikola Jokic, the Nuggets are just 17-10 SU at home. They’ll be huge favorites as they welcome the Thunder Wednesday.

Thunder at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 2:27 p.m. ET.

Money line: Thunder +800 (bet $100 to win $800) | Nuggets -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +14.5 (-107) | Nuggets -14.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Thunder at Nuggets key injuries

Thunder

G Lu Dort (shoulder) out
G Josh Giddey (hip) out
F Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (foot) out
F Aaron Wiggins (ankle) out

Nuggets

G Jamal Murray (knee) out
F Michael Porter Jr. (spine) out

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Thunder at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 116, Thunder 104

Money line

PASS.

There is no playable side here. The only way to consider playing the money line is in OKC’s favor at +800, but that’s far too risky to put any faction of a unit on.

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Against the spread

BET on the THUNDER +14.5 (-107).

The Nuggets are the far superior team here, but they haven’t covered well this season when given a spread this large. When double-digit favorites, the Nuggets are just 1-3 ATS.

OKC and Denver have played twice, both in Oklahoma City. Denver won by 4 and lost by 14.

OKC is 21-10 ATS this season as a road underdog, and with G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander healthy and a key playmaker, the Thunder should have the offensive firepower to hang close.

The Thunder also have the 10th-ranked defense in the NBA. Coupling that with the Nuggets’ 19th-ranked pace, OKC should be able to keep this game within 15 points.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 225.5 (-110).

The crew chief for this game is Courtney Kirkland. He is in his 22nd NBA season and has a 13-27 O/U record this season and the average total of a game Kirkland officiates is 215.0 points per game.

OKC already doesn’t have a high-octane offense outside of SGA. It ranks 30th in offensive rating. The Nuggets rank 27th in free throw attempt rate while the Thunder sits 29th.

All signs point to the Under being a great play.

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Author: Naomi Berry