Phoenix Suns at Philadelphia 76ers odds, picks and predictions

The Phoenix Suns (43-10) travel to the City of Brotherly Love Tuesday to play the Philadelphia 76ers (32-21). Tip-off at Wells Fargo Arena is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Suns vs. 76ers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Phoenix won its second straight game Monday by holding on to beat the Bulls 127-124 in Chicago but failed to cover as a 6.5-point road favorite. The Suns are 6-1 straight up (SU) and 4-3 against the spread (ATS) over the last two weeks.

Philly snapped its two-game losing skid Sunday by also beating the Bulls 119-108 in Chicago as a 4-point road favorite. The Sixers are 5-2 SU and 3-4 ATS in the last 14 days.

The Suns were 2-0 SU and 1-0-1 ATS in their two games with the Sixers last season and the Over has cashed in seven straight Phoenix-Philadelphia meetings.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA February 8 breakdown

Suns at 76ers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Suns +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | 76ers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Against the spread: Suns +1.5 (-115) | 76ers -1.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Suns at 76ers key injuries

Suns (not officially submitted)

76ers

SF Matisse Thybulle (shoulder) questionable

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Suns at 76ers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 109, 76ers 103

Money line

“LEAN” to the SUNS (+100) for a one-third unit because we are getting late to the party on Phoenix’s money line (ML) and the Under is my favorite wager in this game.

The Suns-76ers game opened with Phoenix as a 2.5-point underdog but the sharps hammered the Suns early, lowering their ML payout and spread.

However, the difference in this game will be Suns PG Chris Paul outmaneuvering his former head coach and current Sixers head coach, Doc Rivers, down the stretch.

The Suns are fourth in defensive rating and the Sixers struggle against tough defenses. Philly is 5-7 SU versus top-10 defenses with a minus-2.2 adjusted net rating and a minus-2.3 ATS margin, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Plus the Suns perform better against quality competition: Phoenix is 10-5 SU versus teams in the top-10 of efficiency differential with a plus-3.4 adjusted net rating (ranked second), per CTG.

The Sixers are 5-8 SU versus top-10 teams with a minus-6.1 adjusted net rating (ranked 19th) and a minus-4.8 ATS margin (ranked 25th). Phoenix is 6-4 ATS on the road versus teams above-.500 and Philly is 4-7 ATS at home versus teams above-.500.

I’d argue all the ATS trends apply since this Suns-76ers meeting is priced as a coin-flip.

Against the spread

PASS.

The Suns +1.5 (-115) doesn’t provide much insurance in case they lose so we might as well stick with Phoenix’s ML.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 217.5 (-112) for 1 unit for a bunch of trendy reasons and because this is a Pros vs. Joe’s game in the betting market.

Phoenix is 10-16 O/U on the road (minus-3.7 total margin), 3-4 O/U on the second of a back-to-back (minus-2.4 total margin), 7-8 O/U when playing with a rest disadvantage (minus-5.0 total margin), 9-11 O/U versus teams above-.500 and 1-8-1 O/U in the last 10 games as an underdog.

Philly is 9-16 O/U at home, 5-6 O/U when playing with a rest advantage, 8-17 O/U versus teams above-.500 and 1-4 O/U in the last five games as a favorite.

Nearly two-thirds of the bets placed are on the Over but roughly 90% of the cash is on the Under according to pregame.com. It’s typically profitable in sports betting to follow the money when it’s counter to the public.

The UNDER 217.5 (-112) is my favorite wager in this game.

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Author: Naomi Berry