The Memphis Grizzlies (32-17) travel to the Alamo City for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off against the San Antonio Spurs (18-30) at the AT&T Center. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Memphis has alternated between winning and losing over its past six games with the latest being a 104-91 loss at the Dallas Mavericks Sunday. The Grizzlies are 3-3 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) over the past two weeks.
San Antonio snapped a two-game slide by hammering the Rockets in Houston 134-104 last night (Tuesday). The Spurs are 3-5 SU and ATS in the last 14 days.
The Grizzlies (-5.5) beat the Spurs 118-105 in their first meeting of the season, New Year’s Eve. Memphis has won four straight versus San Antonio and covered in three of those wins.
Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA January 26 breakdown
Grizzlies at Spurs odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:15 p.m. ET.
Money line: Grizzlies -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Spurs +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -4.5 (-115) | Spurs +4.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Grizzlies at Spurs key injuries
SG Desmond Bane (health and safety protocols) questionable
PF Brandon Clarke (back) questionable
SF Kyle Anderson (health and safety protocols) out
SG Dillon Brooks (ankle) out
PG Tyus Jones (health and safety protocols) out
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Grizzlies at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions
Grizzlies 117, Spurs 115
PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Spurs (+160) because San Antonio plus the points is the side I’m on.
Both teams play a similar style and have a similar make-up, but the Grizzlies (-200) are just far more efficient so I cannot get behind a San Antonio upset in this spot.
Against the spread
BET the SPURS +4.5 (-107) for 1 unit because the Grizzlies -4.5 (-115) feels like a trap considering Memphis smacked around San Antonio when they first met on New Year’s Eve.
However, the Grizzlies were a lot closer to full health, and the Spurs were missing their leading scorer and assist man in PG Dejounte Murray.
While Memphis PG Ja Morant is a heavy favorite to win the NBA’s Most Improved Player award, Murray is also having a breakout season and has been dynamite this month.
Murray is averaging career highs in points, rebounds and assists per game this season. In Jan., Murray is outproducing his yearly averages by putting up 23.0 points, 8.5 rebounds and 9.7 assists per in 12 games this month.
Furthermore, San Antonio has been more efficient and played better versus expectations than Memphis over the past two weeks despite having a worse record.
For instance, the Spurs have a plus-2.8 adjusted net rating (ranked 10th) and a plus-0.3 ATS margin (ranked 17th) in the last 14 days, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).
But, the Grizzlies have a minus-4.4 adjusted net rating (ranked 22nd) and a minus-4.5 ATS margin (ranked 26th) during that span, per CTG.
Finally, Memphis is playing the final of a 4-game road swing and is hosting the Utah Jazz Friday. It could be a look-ahead spot for a Grizzlies team that’s facing the team that eliminated them from the playoffs last season and the Spurs could catch them snoozing.
All the trends and most of the public is on the Grizzlies but I’ll fade all that noise and BET the SPURS +4.5 (-107).
PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Over 228.5 (-112) because both teams like to force turnovers, get out in transition, crash the glass and attack the paint.
Also, the Over has cashed in 5 of the last 7 Grizzlies-Spurs meetings. That said, I agree with this total and think it’s a sharp price.
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