The Miami Heat (29-16) travel to State Farm Arena Friday to take on the Atlanta Hawks (19-25). Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Heat vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
One of the best covering teams in the league with a 27-18 against the spread (ATS) record, the Heat are coming in having covered 8 of their last 10. However, they’ll be without two key offensive players, Tyler Herro and Kyle Lowry. The Heat are 7-1 without Lowry this season.
As for the Hawks, their big man Clint Capela is listed as questionable. He’s a crucial factor on both ends of the court. Atlanta has been disappointing this season yet has a 10-11 home record, which compares favorably to their 9-14 road record.
The Hawks are just 17-27 ATS. They lost at home against the Heat Jan. 12 by 24, losing both that two-game series by an average of 15 points.
Heat at Hawks odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.
Money line: Heat -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Hawks -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat +1.5 (-115) | Hawks -1.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Heat at Hawks key injuries
G Tyler Herro (health and safety protocols) out
G Kyle Lowry (personal) out
G Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out
F Danilo Gallinari (ankle) out
C Clint Capela (ankle) questionable
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Heat at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions
Heat 114, Hawks 109
BET the HEAT -103.
Miami is just the better team, especially if the Hawks are down Capela.
The big man does make a massive difference, and I’d wait to bet this until knowing his status. Capela hasn’t played since Jan. 7, missing both of the two teams’ matchups earlier this month.
Regardless, the Heat are versatile offensively and have one of the best duos in the NBA with Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo. The Heat are the only team in the NBA that ranks in the top seven in both offensive and defensive rating.
Considering they’re 14-11 on the road and have the defenders capable of limiting superstar G Trae Young, I expect them to win this game and may even suggest alternate spreads. One could get Miami -4.5 for +150.
Against the spread
PASS on the spread. Since I like Miami in this situation, I’d prefer to take the better money line odds.
“LEAN” to the OVER 219.5 (-107).
During the teams’ two-game stint earlier in the season, the total was 1-1 O/U.
The Hawks have been absolutely thriving on the offensive end lately as the Over is 7-3 in their last 10. Similarly, the Heat are 26-19 O/U this season with their last 10 split 6-4 O/U.
Given the trends, I’d lean towards more points, especially with the absence of Lowry and potential absence of Capela.
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