Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

The Miami Marlins (33-40) wrap up their 3-game series with the St. Louis Cardinals (43-34) Wednesday at Busch Stadium with the 1st pitch scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

St. Louis won the 1st two games of this series 5-1 Monday and 3-0 Tuesday. Both teams are 5-5 straight up (SU) in their last 10 games.

The Cardinals lead the season series with the Marlins 4-1 and St. Louis has a plus-12 run differential in those meetings.

Marlins at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Sandy Alcantara vs. RHP Andre Pallante     

Alcantara is 7-3 with a 1.95 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 106 1/3 IP over 15 starts.

Last start: Lost 5-3 Friday at home vs. the New York Mets with 7 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 6 H, 2 HR, 0 BB and 4 K.
2022 vs. the Cardinals: One start, a no-decision in Miami’s 2-0 home loss April 20 with 8 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 1 BB and 6 K.

Pallante is 2-3 with a 2.03 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 in 48 2/3 IP over 4 starts and 18 relief appearances.

Last start: Lost 3-0 Friday at home vs. the Chicago Cubs with 6 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 3 BB and 2 K.
2022 home splits: 2-2 with a 2.57 ERA (28 IP, 8 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 3 HR and 5.5 K/9 in 2 starts and 10 relief appearances.

Marlins at Cardinals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:01 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Marlins -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Cardinals +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins -1.5 (+135) | Cardinals +1.5 (-170)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Marlins at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 5, Cardinals 2

Money line

BET the MARLINS (-125) because they’ve taken heavy sharp action,  Alcantara is money in these spots and Miami’s lineup is more productive vs. right-handed pitching.

Miami’s ML opened at -105 but has been steamed up to the current number because roughly 85% of the cash is on the Marlins, according to Pregame.com.

Also, Miami is 6-1 SU with a plus-55.6% return on investment (ROI) as road favorites with Alcantara on the bump since the beginning of last season.

Furthermore, Miami’s lineup outperforms St. Louis’s against right-handed pitching in several advanced metrics such as wRC+ (110-106), wOBA (.321-.316), hard-hit rate (28.1-27.7%) and runs per 9 (4.90-4.61).

BET 1 unit on the MARLINS (-125).

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 6/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN MARLINS -1.5 (+135) since they are 6-1 RL with a plus-66.0% ROI in the aforementioned circumstances and Miami has a much more reliable bullpen than the Cardinals +1.5 (-170).

I’d prefer to put an extra quarter-unit on Miami’s ML than sprinkle on the RL but there’s a little value in the MARLINS -1.5 (+135).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (+105) only because the Over 7.5 (-130) appears to be the sharper play based on the pricing.

But, there’s a “Pros vs. Joe’s” scenario in the betting market with more cash being on the Under and more bets placed on the Over, per Pregame.com. Since sharps put up a lot more dough than your average Joe so it’s wiser to follow the money column of the betting splits.

It’s only a LEAN UNDER 7.5 (+105) because Miami’s ML is my favorite look in Marlins-Cardinals.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

.

Author: Naomi Berry