Minnesota Timberwolves at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and predictions

The Sacramento Kings (20-35) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (28-25) Tuesday at the Golden 1 Center for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Timberwolves vs. Kings odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Minnesota won its fourth straight game – and improved to 4-0 against the spread (ATS) in its last four games – by crushing the Pistons 118-105 Sunday, barely covering as 12.5-point home favorites. Over the past two weeks, the T-Wolves are 5-2 straight up (SU) and 4-3 ATS.

Sactown alternated wins and losses over its past four games with the most recent being a 113-103 win as a 7.5-point home favorite against the Thunder Saturday. The Kings are 2-5 SU and 4-3 ATS in the last 14 days.

The T-Wolves beat the Kings 107-97 in Minnesota Nov. 17, covering as 2.5-point favorites.

A report broke Tuesday afternoon that the Kings agreed to trade SG Buddy Hield, PG Tyrese Haliburton and C Tristan Thompson for PF Domantas Sabonis, SF Justin Holiday and SG Jeremy Lamb to the Indiana Pacers. But these new players won’t be available for Sactown Tuesday night.

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Timberwolves at Kings odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:24 p.m. ET.

Money line: Timberwolves -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Kings +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
Against the spread: Timberwolves -6.5 (-115) | Kings +6.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Timberwolves at Kings key injuries

Timberwolves

PG Patrick Beverley (ankle) questionable
C Reid Naz (knee) questionable
SG D’Angelo Russell (shin) questionable

Kings

PF Marvin Bagley III (ankle) questionable
PG De’Aaron Fox (ankle) questionable

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Timberwolves at Kings odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 124, Kings 112

Money line

PASS.

I’m confident enough in Minnesota to just lay the points and would never bet an NBA regular-season favorite as high as the Timberwolves (-300).

Minnesota is 6-2 SU as a road favorite (plus-7.8 margin of victory) and Sactown is 8-9 SU as a home underdog (minus-4.0 margin of victory).

Against the spread

BET TIMBERWOLVES -6.5 (-115) for 1 unit because this is just a terrible matchup for the Kings.

Minnesota crashes the glass, pressures ball handlers and gets out in transition. All of these are areas of weakness for Sacramento.

The T-Wolves rank sixth or better in points off of turnovers, second-chance points and fast-break points per game (PPG). Whereas the Kings’ defense ranks 22nd or worse in all those metrics.

Furthermore, Minnesota C Karl-Anthony Towns has dominated Sactown throughout his career. KAT is averaging 23.2 PPG on 65.0% true shooting (.551/.450/.817) with 11.8 rebounds per game and a plus-16 net rating in 21 career games versus the Kings.

Also, sharp money has steamed the T-Wolves from a 3.5-point opening favorite up to the current price.

But I still think there’s value in Minnesota at this number because the T-Wolves are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four meetings against the Kings, 10-3 ATS in away games versus teams with a losing record and 4-1 ATS when laying 5-7 points.

The TIMBERWOLVES -6.5 (-115) is my favorite bet in this game.

Over/Under

PASS.

Minnesota’s offense has been on fire lately (first in offensive rating over the past five games at 123.7) and Sactown has one of the worst defenses in the NBA.

But the T-Wolves might need to do most of the lifting in this game for the Over to cash. Especially since the Kings could be without Fox and just traded away their third-and fourth-leading scorers.

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Author: Naomi Berry