New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

The New York Knicks (27-38) visit the American Airlines Center Wednesday to take on the Dallas Mavericks (40-25). Tip is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Knicks vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Knicks are heating up at the right time. They’re coming off a 16-point win over the Kings, covering as 4-point underdogs. Prior to that, they beat the Clippers by 23.

The Knicks have covered 3 straight games, but are just 3-6 against the spread (ATS) over their last 9. New York is led by F Julius Randle who is averaging 20 points per game.

The Mavericks, led by G Luka Doncic, have won 5 straight games and are 7-2-1 ATS over their last 10 games.

Dallas is favored by 8.5 points and they haven’t been favored by that many since covering as 10.5-point favorites against the Pistons on February 8.

Knicks at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Knicks +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | Mavericks -420 (bet $420 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Knicks +8.5 (-120) | Mavericks -8.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Knicks at Mavericks key injuries

Knicks

C Mitchell Robinson (illness) questionable
F Obi Toppin (hamstring) out
G Cam Reddish (shoulder) out

Mavericks

G Jalen Brunson (foot) questionable

Knicks at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 109, Knicks 100

Money line

PASS.

The Mavs have won 5 straight and the Knicks are just 14-19 on the road. Nonetheless, I’d still stay away from Dallas -420. While the Knicks have been playing better as of late, their +320 isn’t worth a longshot wager.

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Against the spread

LEAN to the MAVERICKS -8.5 (-105).

The Knicks are just 1-6 ATS this calendar year when underdogs by 7 or more points.

While the Knicks did beat Dallas by 23 earlier in the season, New York shot 22% better than the Mavs and won the turnover battle and rebounding battle.

Assuming the two teams return to their mean, the Mavs should have a better chance at covering. Also, the Knicks are just 29-36 ATS this season while the Mavs are a far better 36-28-1.

Lastly, the Mavs hold opponents to the 8th-worst three-point field goal rate. The Knicks shoot the 11th-highest rate from distance. That battle that favors the Mavs should be huge for Dallas’ ability to cover.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 215.5 (-115).

The one thing the Mavs have done best this season is fail to cover the projected total. They’re just 23-41-1 O/U this season. It’s really the pace that has killed their total.

The Mavs rank 30th in pace, and the Knicks are also near the bottom of the league, ranking 27th. Also, neither team ranks in the top ten in offensive rating.

Dallas is just 9-24-1 O/U at home as well, making this an even sounder bet.

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Author: Naomi Berry