The Orlando Magic (16-48) visit FedExForum Saturday to take on the Memphis Grizzlies (43-21). Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Magic vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
The Grizzlies are the best covering team in the league at 42-22 ATS. Despite a 120-107 road loss to the Boston Celtics Thursday in their last outing, the Grizzlies have been playing well lately and have covered seven of their last 10 games.
Memphis has also gone over the projected total in seven of those 10 outings. The Grizzlies rank third in points per game (113.8).
Orlando has struggled offensively this season and ranks 28th in true shooting percentage (53.8).
The Magic are just 29-35 ATS and have an Eastern Conference-low 16 wins. Orlando is coming off a 103-97 road win over the Toronto Raptors as a 7.5-point underdog. It has covered four of its last six games.
Magic at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:13 p.m. ET.
Money line: Magic +900 (bet $100 to win $900) | Grizzlies -2000 (bet $2,000 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Magic +15.5 (-105) | Grizzlies -15.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
Magic at Grizzlies key injuries
C Wendell Carter Jr. (non-Covid illness) out
G Jalen Suggs (ankle) questionable
F Kyle Anderson (foot) questionable
G Dillon Brooks (ankle) out
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Magic at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions
Grizzlies 118, Magic 100
Memphis should win. It is 21-10 straight up at home and playing the worst team in the Eastern Conference, there’s no value in betting the Grizzlies (-2000) to win outright.
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Against the spread
“LEAN” to the GRIZZLIES -15.5 (-120).
I don’t typically advise betting an NBA spread this large, but the Grizzlies have been profitable at covering double-digit spreads this season. They’re 4-1 on the season when spotted 10 or more.
They won by 20 or more points in each of the four covers, with two wins coming by well over 30 points. Memphis is 14-10 ATS as a home favorite.
The Magic will be without a key big man in Carter Jr., who averages the third-most minutes and points per game for then. Orlando is just 9-13 ATS against Western Conference teams this season.
BET on the UNDER 229.5 (-115).
I do not see the Magic, a team averaging just 104 points per game, 28th in the league, to have enough firepower to help cover this total. They are just 4-6 O/U in their last 10 games.
Memphis is just 11-12-1 O/U as a home favorite yet is 34-29-1 O/U on the season, so covering the total against weaker teams at home has been difficult for them this season.
Orlando also isn’t that bad on the defensive glass, ranking 15th in defensive rebounding rate which will be important against Memphis’ No. 1 ranked offensive rebounding.
Limiting those second chances will be important, and with Carter Jr. out, veteran 7-foot C Robin Lopez may get more run which should only bode well for their ability to own the paint.
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