Villanova at St. John’s odds, picks and prediction

The No. 15 Villanova Wildcats (17-6, 10-3 Big East) visit the St. John’s Red Storm (13-9, 5-6) Tuesday for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off (on FS1). Below, we look at the Villanova vs. St. John’s odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Led by star G Julian Champagnie, who is averages 18.9 points per game (PPG), the Red Storm have covered 4 of their last 5 games. They’re just 6-5 against the spread (ATS) in conference play though.

The Red Storm struggle defensively, allowing 74.3 PPG, but they rank 21st in the nation in offensive points per game at 79.7. They scored just 62 the last time these two teams met (Jan. 29), but covered as 13.5-point underdogs in an 11-point road loss.

The Wildcats are 13-10 ATS on the season. They’re 6-4 ATS in their last 10, failing to cover 3 of the last 4 as double-digit favorites. Villanova is led by G Collin Gillespie, who is averaging 17.2 points per game. The Wildcats’ strength comes in their 23rd-ranked defense, which allows just 61.7 PPG.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Villanova at St. John’s odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:39 p.m. ET.

Money line: Villanova -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | St. John’s +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Against the spread: Villanova +3.5 (-120) | St. John’s -3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 142.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Get some action on this matchup at Tipico Sportsbook, a trusted, global sports-betting leader and Sportsbook Wire’s official betting partner.

Place your legal, online sports bets in CO and NJ at Tipico now. IA, Tipico is coming to your state soon! New customer offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $100 in instant bet credits! 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Villanova at St. John’s odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Villanova 72, St. John’s 69

Money line

PASS.

I like St. John’s to keep this competitive and cover the spread, but I’m not sold on the Red Storm to win this Big East showdown, primarily because their 10-4 home record.

Villanova at -190 on the road is unplayable. The Wildcats are just 5-4 on the road in a non-neutral environment.

Against the spread

LEAN to ST. JOHN’S +3.5 (-105).

It is not easy to win on the road, let alone cover a 3.5-point spread.

The Wildcats have learned that as they’ve been the worst ATS road team in the conference. They are just 3-6 ATS in road games this season and 2-4 ATS as road favorites.

St. John’s is riding a 2-game winning streak, both on the road against Big East opponents. In the last battle between these two, ‘Nova shot 47.8% (11-for-23) from deep compared to St. John’s 19% (4-for-21).

Assuming we see the Red Storm improve to their mean, we should see a close battle which is respective to most Big East conference games.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 142.5 (-112).

While Villanova’s defense is solid, it’s been more its pace that allows for fewer points. Villanova ranks 342nd in possessions per game. St. John’s ranks 5th.

Gillespie, who is in his fifth season with the Wildcats (thanks to the exempted COVID-19 season), understands how to play the game and typically slows the pace. That’s one reason the Wildcats are 11-12 O/U.

Both teams have had the Under hit in 5 of their last 10 outings.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin / College Football News

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

.

Author: Naomi Berry